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Friday, August 5, 2011

Tropical Update: Emily Fizzles, But Will the Storm Make a Comeback?

Tropical Storm Emily is no longer a named storm. Emily weakened considerably as it interacted with Hispaniola. The remnants of the once tropical storm are now moving northwest at 16 miles per hour and the area of low pressure has top winds of around 35 miles per hour.

Just because the storm weakened does not mean that the rainfall has let up. In fact, parts of Hispaniola will still see anywhere from six to 12 inches of rain when all is said and done.

So, what happens with Emily's remnants from here?


The latest radar imagery of this area of low pressure in the Atlantic indicates the chance for the low wanting to split in two and head off in separate directions. This will have to be monitored closely. If this were to happen, one piece would head towards the Gulf of Mexico and the other piece would continue on the current northwest track of the low. Some restrengthening isn't out of the question just yet either. That's option one.

Option two. Emily's remnants would continue on a northwest track as a whole and begin to veer off into the Atlantic over the next 48 hours or so. Still, some minor restrengthening is possible within this time frame once the area of low pressure passes land and reaches the Atlantic again.

The image below shows what computer models think will happen with these remnants. You can see both possibilities discusses above are visible, while the more likely scenario is option two.



It is likely that southeast Florida will still see some impacts from Emily's remnants. So residents and especially boaters should monitor local weather reports.

As far as any impact here along the northeast coast - that remains to be seen. There is the slight chance at this time that Long Island and other coastal areas could see some increased surf, but not much else. I'll continue to watch this, of course.

So while Emily has fizzled and become a much weaker storm, it should still be watched.

What about the Pacific waters?


Hurricane Eugene is still an active storm, but still poses no threat to land as it continues to weaken. Top winds are at around 85 miles per hour.

There is a weak area of low pressure behind Eugene, but it does not look like this low pressure system will strengthen into a tropical cyclone at this time.

1 comments:

Each of the weather conditions that are likely in the different parts of the country all require a slightly varied reaction from you, as a hauler. And each of these weather systems warrant a different set of tools and skills to get you safely to your destination.

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