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Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Tracking the Tropics: Hurricane Irene Dips to Cat. 1, But Will Restrengthen

Hurricane Irene, once a category two hurricane, has temporarily weakened slightly to a category one storm on the Saffir-Simpson scale. There is concern for the East coast of the United States to be impacted significantly by Irene later this week and well into the upcoming weekend. 

Here's the latest on Hurricane Irene as of 5PM EST this evening:

Hurricane Irene: 5PM EST Update
Top Winds: 90 mph
Minimum Central Pressure: 976mb
Moving WNW @ 9 mph
Located ~50 mi SSW Grand Turk Island

There was some SSW wind shear which allowed Irene to weaken just a bit today. That being said, the downgrade to a Category 1 Hurricane this evening is no surprise. However, Irene is headed towards prime waters for strengthening. So, expect Irene to rapidly begin to restrengthen over the next 48 hours. 

Current watches and warnings include:

A Hurricane Warning for Turks and Caicos Islands and the Southeastern, Central and Northwestern Bahamas.

A Tropical Storm Warning in effect for the North Coast of Haiti.

Hurricane force winds only stretch outward for 40 miles, but Tropical Storm Force winds extend to around 205 miles from the storm's center. 

Irene is forecast to become a Category 3 storm as early as Thursday morning. Portions of South Carolina and North Carolina will start to see increased surf and dangerous rip currents pick up over the next couple of days. The center of Irene is forecast to be just offshore the North Carolina coast by Saturday afternoon.
Then, things look like they'll get very interesting for Eastern sections of Virginia, DC, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey right on North through the rest of the mid-Atlantic area. While it's too early to tell just how the US mainland will be affected by Irene, it's important to be prepared for what could come. 


You can see Hurricane Irene's current projected path below. While Irene batters the Bahamas, residents up and down the East coast of the United States should prepare for a potential Hurricane hit later in the week and I will be updating you on this storm and any other tropical activity throughout the week. 


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